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Research area

Energy analytics, AI and big data

We research energy time series together with production conditions, measurement quality and operational decisions. The aim is explainable anomaly indicators, comparable performance measurements and verifiable decision support, rather than treating a dashboard as evidence of efficiency.

Energy analysts reviewing forecast plots with solar panels and monitoring equipment in the background
  • Energy time series and large-scale data processing
  • Data cleaning, quality flags and contextual features
  • Anomaly, loss and performance analysis
  • Modeling generation and consumption behavior
  • Application context from Enlogy and SCADA data

Measurement boundaries and energy balance

A facility meter, production-line submeter and equipment sensor describe different boundaries. Energy, instantaneous power and cost are distinct quantities. The data contract records intervals, meter multipliers, current-transformer ratios, flow direction and unit conversions. Adding overlapping meter boundaries can double count energy even when every individual reading is technically valid.

A difference between the main meter and summed submeters is an investigation signal, not proof of leakage. Unmetered auxiliaries, sampling offsets, resolution and communication gaps must be considered. An unexplained balance cannot establish a physical cause or financial loss without further measurement and field review.

Time and quality in the data pipeline

Event time and arrival time remain separate. Late-data windows, duplicate identifiers and source precedence determine how aggregates are recomputed. Cumulative-meter resets, negative differences, timezone changes and missing data carry distinct quality flags. A missing hour must not become an hour of zero consumption merely to simplify aggregation.

Raw records and cleaned analytical datasets remain traceable through versions. An investigator should be able to reconstruct which rule changed a meter observation. Partitioning and aggregation help at scale, but an average that removes short peaks may be unsuitable for demand analysis. Retention and resolution therefore follow the decision being supported.

Baselines adjusted for operating conditions

Lower consumption may result from lower output. Comparisons consider production volume, product mix, operating hours and climate variables. A simple reference and a more complex model are tested on the same periods. A representative baseline preceding the intervention matters more than selecting the model with the highest apparent correlation.

Suppose a hypothetical baseline contains 40 MWh of fixed consumption plus 0.8 MWh per tonne. At 100 tonnes, expected consumption is 120 MWh. Observing 110 MWh gives a 10 MWh adjusted difference. If the previous month used 150 MWh, that does not establish 40 MWh of savings: changed conditions and model uncertainty still matter.

Turn anomalies into actionable investigations

A statistical outlier is not automatically a fault. Planned maintenance, shift changes and product transitions can alter normal behavior. Alert design considers magnitude, persistence, measurement reliability and operating context. Producing many alarms without defining who investigates them and which evidence is available can increase operational workload instead of reducing risk.

Results are examined by line and shift because a facility-wide average can hide poor performance for a smaller group. False alarms, missed events and investigation time are monitored together. Reasoned operator feedback becomes reviewable evidence and can later support a labeled evaluation set; the initial model's alerts are not treated as ground truth.

Separate measurement faults from analytical failures

An experiment can inject known meter resets, time shifts and gaps into the data pipeline. Expected quality flags are checked through reporting. A simple baseline and candidate model then use the same cleaned data. This avoids artificial gains caused by future information in preprocessing or missing consumption replaced with zero. Results retain raw-data, rule and model versions so the effect of late observations can be reproduced.

Experts review anomaly candidates against maintenance, product transitions and measurement defects as distinct outcomes. Evaluation also considers investigation time and access to source evidence. A correct alarm does not establish that a feasible economic intervention exists. Reports distinguish model output, reviewed finding and verified effect; a savings claim still requires an appropriate baseline comparison and stated measurement boundary.

Illustrative experiment design, not reported results or product specifications
ExperimentMeasurementInterpretation boundary
Inject a meter resetQuality flag and aggregate recomputationMust not be labeled a physical loss
Slice by production levelResidual error and biasDoes not guarantee an unseen regime
Review a known eventTraceability to raw recordsAnomaly cause is not automatically established

Evidence for a savings claim

The intervention date, boundary, calculation method and exceptional changes are specified in advance. Adding a production line or changing occupied space may alter the baseline interpretation. Evaluation distinguishes reduced cost from reduced energy: a tariff change is not reported as a physical efficiency gain. Adjustment decisions and supporting records remain auditable.

Outputs can include data-quality findings, a versioned baseline, error distributions, reviewed anomaly cases and pilot acceptance criteria. Gokbilge Tech's Enlogy and SCADA work provides a connection between acquisition and analytics. A site-specific savings percentage or detection rate requires evidence from the actual conditions and is not promised before technical assessment.

Technical references

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